17 May, 2024
Bitcoin’s Supply Plummets Amid Bullish Surge
Decreased Bitcoin Supply on Exchanges
Bitcoin's supply on exchanges has reached new lows amid a bullish market trend, signaling a shift toward long-term holding. Analysts attribute this decline to factors such as the recent Bitcoin halving and increased investments in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. A Bybit report suggests the supply on exchanges could be depleted within nine months. Despite this optimistic long-term outlook, concerns linger about the Federal Reserve's reluctance to lower interest rates, which could impact Bitcoin's short-term price.
Bitcoin’s Bullish Trend and Key Factors
Currently trading at $65,300, Bitcoin has recovered from just above $66,500 earlier this week. The decrease in supply is seen as a positive indicator, with Bybit predicting depletion within nine months. Key drivers include the Bitcoin halving and rising investments in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Federal Reserve’s Influence
The introduction of U.S. exchange-traded funds investing in Bitcoin led to a surge in trading volume. However, activity has slowed amid financial uncertainty and the Federal Reserve’s approach to inflation. The April 19 Bitcoin halving reduced new coin supply, but the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates could hinder Bitcoin’s price reaching targets like $100,000 by 2024. The short-term outlook remains uncertain without Fed action.
Bold Predictions: Bitcoin to $5 Million?
The Co-Founder of Apollo predicts Bitcoin could rally to $5 million, driven by institutional interest and significant market developments. Echoing Michael Saylor’s bullish sentiments, the Apollo Co-Founder points to a “holy trinity of bullish catalysts.”
The Holy Trinity of Bullish Catalysts
Michael Saylor recently highlighted growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, noting its acceptance among major financial and governmental institutions. The Apollo Co-Founder identifies three critical factors for Bitcoin’s potential surge:
① Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval: Providing a regulated investment avenue, likely driving substantial capital inflows.
② Fair Value Accounting Rules: Allowing companies to report Bitcoin holdings at fair value, encouraging more corporate investments.
③ Institutional Custody Services: Increasing liquidity and providing a robust financial infrastructure.
Market Trends and Technical Indicators
Bitcoin maintains a bullish trend, consistently finding support above $60,000. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at $66,183 with a 24-hour trading volume of $23.8 billion. The coin has declined by 0.7% in the past 24 hours, trading between $65,842.40 and $66,408. Bitcoin’s live market cap stands at $1.2 trillion, with open interest at -1.81%, valuing $17.3 billion.
Technical Indicators Overview
Technical indicators support an optimistic outlook for BTC/USD, with many signaling a buy. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows above-average readings at 62.04, indicating potential buying pressure. The Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has seen a bearish crossover, suggesting a possible new bear market phase. However, the 20-SMA and 50-SMA remain bullish, providing strong support for Bitcoin’s price.